“The Corporate Transparency Act requires millions of family farmers and ranchers to file complex paperwork and disclose beneficial ownership information with the federal government under penalty of severe fines and jailtime,” said NCBA Executive Director of Government Affairs Kent Bacus. “FinCEN should do the right thing and provide a realistic delay to the Corporate Transparency Act until Congress has an opportunity to provide a permanent fix that protects family farmers and ranchers.”

On Monday, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals lifted a nationwide preliminary injunction on the enforcement of the Corporate Transparency Act, holding that the government is likely to prevail in a constitutional challenge. This decision places many small businesses in jeopardy that have not yet filed Beneficial Ownership Information with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a division of the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

In light of the Fifth Circuit’s decision, FinCEN announced it will delay enforcement of the Corporate Transparency Act until January 13, 2025—just three weeks from now. This delay does not allow enough time for millions of small businesses to comply with the law, and it is deeply concerning that FinCEN will proceed with enforcing this law when it has failed to give adequate notice and instructions to law abiding family business owners.

NCBA will continue fighting for a permanent solution that protects cattle farmers and ranchers from this overreaching mandate. In the meantime, cattle producers are advised to consult their attorney and/or tax professional regarding this new development.

The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA) has represented America’s cattle producers since 1898, preserving the heritage and strength of the industry through education and public policy.  As the largest association of cattle producers, NCBA works to create new markets and increase demand for beef.  Efforts are made possible through membership contributions. To join, contact NCBA at 1-866-BEEF-USA or membership@beef.org.

–National Cattlemen’s Beef Association

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I hope all of you will be able to look back on the year’s greatness. Put your pencil to paper as you consider all you learned from 2024; some very important lessons were sprinkled in there.

To give time for reflection and enjoyment this holiday season, we will not be sending out our daily emails the week between Christmas and New Year’s. The Morning Ag Clips’ daily email will resume on Thursday, January 2, 2025.

There will still be news articles published on our site, so make sure to stay up-to-date by going to morningagclips.com. Every day there will be something new, and there will be an editor watching for breaking ag news every day. But like you, we all need a break, and the only way to get it is to be extremely intentional about it, so we are!

Here’s to you, your family, and a prosperous and healthy New Year! We will see you in 2025!

With love,
Kate

The post Merry Christmas & Happy New Year! appeared first on Morning Ag Clips.

I expect the January Cattle Inventory report to show some additional liquidation has occurred leading to a smaller calf crop in 2025. It seems most likely that the summer of 2026 is the soonest substantial national heifer retention may begin. While there is recently elevated uncertainty around international trade that should not be overlooked, most anticipate domestic beef availability to decline perhaps by 2-3% per year (per person) in 2025 and 2026.

Given this setting and the opportunity for some extended armchair-pondering around the holidays, some context on economic concepts and an important historical reminder is prudent. Economists analyzing the beef industry use the term “demand” to refer to the willingness and ability to buy beef at a specific price. A change in beef demand is not triggered by changes in beef prices but rather by consumer income or wealth adjustments, changes in prices of other goods, or perceptions of beef quality evolving. To this later point, the clear improvement in overall beef quality (simple example is Prime or Upper Choice percentage versus past decades) has been core to beef demand growth (see K-State demand indices here: https://agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-demand/monthly-domestic-meat-demand-indices-usdabls-data/monthly-domestic-0 ).

As we turn to 2025 it is important to pause and connect the dots around things such as current feedlot supplies, future breeding herd size and corresponding beef availability, and what one may expect at the retail and food service level. Yes, lower beef supplies are expected and with that, most anticipate higher end-user beef prices. In fact, the industry should be hoping for that! Research with Melissa McKendree, Ted Schroeder, and Nathan Hendricks (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1093/ajae/aaz034 ) shows that feeder cattle sellers stand to gain the most when beef demand grows, and lose the most when demand falters.

If alternatively, lower beef availability is observed in conjunction with flat or lower beef prices, then beef demand clearly declined. In that unfortunate situation, economic viability for most in the industry also declines. While some younger market participants may dismiss this scenario, recall the 1980s & 90s was a period largely characterized by a shrinking herd, weakening beef demand, and overall decline in industry vitality. Indeed, lower beef volumes alone do not guarantee higher beef nor cattle prices. This experience is worth periodic reflection as the industry has made massive improvements that should not be overlooked or taken for granted. To the extent that beef prices increase reflecting stable or growing beef demand that indeed is a market outcome that should not only “be allowed” but encouraged. While the term “demand destruction” is likely to appear more in coming months, industry stakeholders are encouraged to take pause and in fact hope that higher prices develop reflecting stable or growing beef demand.

Finally, and most importantly I wish all readers a Merry Christmas, the ability to see the true reason for the season, and a joyous New Year.

— Glynn T. Tonsor, Ph.D., Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University

The post In the Cattle Markets: Dec. Cattle on Feed Report & Cautionary Note on “Demand Destruction” appeared first on Morning Ag Clips.

Angus Foundation Heifer Package

Each year the Angus Foundation Heifer Package leads off the National Angus Bull Sale. The 2025 heifer package is donated by Pollard Farms of Waukomis, Oklahoma.

The heifer, POLLARD Rita 4012 (AAA* 20875621), is a daughter of EXAR Cover the Bases 0819B and out of a productive, young two-year-old that is “on her way to the donor pen,” said Dr. Barry Pollard of Pollard Farms. She stems from the PF W34 Rita 4139, a long-time donor in the Pollard Farms program.

Rita is an elite donor prospect. She exemplifies the phenotypic and numerical balance that Dr. Pollard and his crew strive to produce, ranking in the top 1% for $C, Marb, $G, $AxH and $AxJ; top 2% for $B and $W; top 5% for RADG; top 10% for WW, YW, and HP; top 15% for CED, BW, PAP, and $M; top 20% for RE; and top 25% for CW and $F.

The heifer package also includes an Advanced Reproductive Technology Package from Trans Ova Genetics; trucking to the buyer donated by Lathrop Livestock Transportation; and 30 days of mortality insurance donated by Jeanne Conover, Livestock Insurance Agent with Conover Auction Service.

The sale starts at 2 p.m. on Friday, January 10, 2025, at Cattlemen’s Congress in Oklahoma City.

To learn more about the Angus Foundation Heifer Package visit bit.ly/2025HeiferPackage.

Fund the Future Offerings

A special feature to the January events is the Angus Foundation “Fund the Future” donation lot that will sell. The Bases Loaded Sale, held January 7 at Heritage Place in Oklahoma City, will feature a heifer pregnancy donated by Riverbend Ranch with complimentary trucking included by Lathrop Livestock Transportation.

This headlining female of the Riverbed and Vintage Angus programs, sells as Lot A with 100% of the proceeds benefiting the Foundation’s mission. The Fund the Future program allows breeders to donate proceeds from a designated sale lot to the Angus Fund, which provides unrestricted dollars to support the breed.

This Fund the Future donation lot features a heifer pregnancy from the $194,000 valued second-generation Riverbed Ranch donor, Miss Belle 9209 and sired by the American Angus Association’s Sire of the Year, Connealy Craftsman. The anticipated due date is February 24, 2025.

Angus Herdsman Social

The Foundation and Association will again host a celebration for the Angus family at the 2025 Cattlemen’s Congress. The Angus Herdsman Social serves as an evening of fellowship in Oklahoma City, Friday, January 10.

The doors of the Cattlemen’s Bar in Barn 3 will open at 3:45 p.m. following the National Angus Bull Sale. The social will feature the announcement of the 2025 Angus Herdsman of the Year, food, refreshments and a group of auction and raffle items to benefit the Foundation’s mission.

Auction highlights include a men’s and/or women’s custom-made cowboy hat from Greeley Hat Works, a set of whiskey barrel chairs and a custom cowhide bag from Holy Cow Couture. A 2025 National Finals Rodeo ticket package, among other exciting items and experiences, is available for bidding.

Those interested in any of the January events and offerings supporting the Angus Foundation are encouraged to contact Jaclyn Boester, Angus Foundation executive director, at JBoester@Angus.org, or their regional manager. To learn more about the Angus Foundation and its mission, visit angus.org/foundation.

–Molly Biggs, Communications Specialist
American Angus Association

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Live fed cattle prices remain strong with cash trades better than $190 but prices for the year look range-bound to me between $180 and just better than $190. The boxed beef cutout value is holding better than $300 with a mix of performance at the primal level. Rib prices have been seasonally outstanding, and tenderloins have also been strong. Loins are showing some seasonal weakness as is ground beef. End meats are showing solid price levels but not much in terms of improvements. Once the market retreats from the strong rib purchases, and the Choice-Select spread seasonally softens, much will be determined by Chucks and Rounds. Also, this will be the period the market moves into the time of year when packer margins are the weakest. My point? The strong finish to the year in calf prices has little to do with what is going on downstream.

It is also not reacting to grain market news. Information from recent Crop Production and WASDE reports suggest some firming of feed grain prices. After a series of reports through the summer where production steadily increased, the November reports communicate some softening of yields, overall production, and a modest tightening of stocks-to-use. However, forage prices remain much below prior years and availability is substantially better.

Carcass weights remain truly impressive and have backed up very little from the four weeks at 960-pound average steer weights – heifers are following suit. It will be interesting, and important, to see the magnitude of any seasonal decline in weights. How much of the 40-pound increase based on the same week of the year prior persists? With lower corn prices and longer feeding periods then heavy weights will persist. But how heavy and what are the possible further increases?

These weight increases in all likelihood hang over the market as well as do the front-loaded cattle on feed inventories. The calculated cattle on feed over 150 days has been larger than any of the proceeding years – other than 2020 – but this inventory has been moving lower through the summer and fall. The exception is November’s number. The inventory of these long-fed animals has been large relative to what is seen in the 120 days on feed inventory. Inventories on feed over 120 days are this month tighter than 2023. Whereas the 150-day number is even compared with last year. Again, big numbers and weights now – and back through the summer and fall – but the prospect is for change come the first quarter. The pipeline is full for the near term with less so into next year. But then there are first-quarter packer margins to navigate.

The Markets

What does the technical picture say? Live cattle and feeder cattle futures have again posted strong rallies in September, October, and November. However, the market currently sits at resistance formed in the spring, and the spring strength was less than the excitement from this time last year. Approaching resistance is a sell signal. Cow-calf producers need to be getting ready and looking hard at LRP into next year. And I have talked to several that received payment this year. I see next year’s GFX contract looking a lot like this year’s. Strong sell-offs, strong up moves, and a lot of underlying volatility. And that is until herd building begins in earnest. As always, watch your charts. And add that Cattle on Feed report to the list. Placements through the spring will be an important signal.

— Stephen R. Koontz, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Colorado State University

The post In the Cattle Markets: Strong Calf Prices Finish the Year appeared first on Morning Ag Clips.

The New World screwworm (NWS) is a fly that has a particularly gory way of harming our cattle. Female NWS flies lay their eggs in open wounds or body orifices and when the larvae hatch, they burrow deep into the skin like a screw driving into wood. These maggots feed on cattle’s tissue, causing larger wounds as they go.

NWS flies and their burrowing larvae cause extensive damage to cattle and infestations can spread rapidly. In 1966, we eradicated screwworms in the United States through sterile insect technique. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) bred sterile male NWS flies that mated with wild female screwworms and failed to produce offspring. Eventually, these flies died out in the U.S. and now they only exist in a handful of South American countries.

Unfortunately, these flesh eating flies are now on the march north.

Since 2022, USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) has confirmed the presence of New World screwworms in Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras, and Guatemala. Just last month, screwworms were discovered in southern Mexico, which raised red flags for us at the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA).

Once in Mexico, it is easy for screwworms to travel north and appear on our southern border. These flies can hitch a ride on people, livestock, or wild animals, not to mention the thousands of vehicles and cargo containers traveling through Mexico to the United States.

We know how devastating it would be if New World screwworm returned to the United States, which is why NCBA is raising the alarm now. First, we are communicating with Mexico’s cattle industry leaders so they can begin the process of screening for these flies and push for eradication efforts in their country. We are also supporting USDA-APHIS to bolster the use of sterile flies. Recently, we have been concerned that our existing sterile flies might not be getting the job done, and NCBA is pushing for more flies and better flies that will help us beat back these pests.

Although we haven’t confirmed any New World screwworms in the United States, we need you to be on high alert. New World screwworms have orange eyes, a metallic blue or green body, and three dark stripes across their backs. If you see any suspicious flies, please alert your local veterinarian, extension agent, or contact USDA-APHIS Veterinary Services.

Please also pay close attention to your cattle and watch for any open wounds or sores. If cattle exhibit irritated behavior, head shaking, you notice the smell of decaying flesh, or spot maggots in a wound, seek treatment from a veterinarian immediately. Proper wound treatment and prevention is the best way to protect your farm or ranch from a screwworm infestation. NCBA is also sharing the latest updates through our website. I encourage you to visit www.ncba.org/NWS for all the latest information on how to protect your operation.

NCBA is always on the clock to protect the U.S. cattle industry from threats like New World screwworm. Through your vigilance and NCBA’s advocacy, we can protect the United States cattle herd.

Kim Brackett is an Idaho rancher and serves as Policy Division Chair of the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA). Support our efforts to protect the cattle industry by becoming a member of NCBA. Join today at www.ncba.org or by calling 1-866-BEEF-USA (1-866-233-3872).

— Kim Brackett, National Cattlemen’s Beef Association Policy Division Chair

The post Op-Ed: Protecting the Herd from New World Screwworm appeared first on Morning Ag Clips.

The study focused on Bangladesh, which is the world’s third-largest producer of rice. The country is also the sixth most-vulnerable country in the world to climate change, as the destruction of rice crops by flooding has led to food insecurity.

Traditional crop monitoring techniques have not kept up with the pace of climate change, said Varun Tiwari, a doctoral student at NC State and lead author of the study.

“In order to estimate crop productivity, people in Bangladesh use field data. They physically go to the field, harvest a crop and then interview the farmer, and then build a report on that. It is a time consuming and labor-intensive process. Additionally, the method adds inaccuracies when rice yield estimates are based on only a few samples rather than data from all fields, making it challenging to upscale to a national level,” Tiwari said. “What that means is that they do not have this information in time to make decisions on exports, imports or crop pricing. It also limits their ability to make long-term decisions like altering crops, introducing climate-resilient rice varieties, or changing rice cropping patterns.”

Researchers used a series of images of the same location recorded at regular intervals – known as time series satellite imagery – to measure vegetation and growth conditions, crop water content and soil condition at those locations. By combining that satellite data with field data, researchers trained their machine learning model to more precisely estimate rice crop productivity for the period from 2002 to 2021.

“With this model, we can see for instance that one area is doing well and another area is not doing as well as it needs to. If we have a highly productive area, we can decide to build more storage capacity in that area or invest more in transportation there,” Tiwari said. “Because that information is available much earlier, it gives decision-makers enough time to make good choices on how to allocate their resources.”

While the model is in the early stages of research, results have been positive. Accuracy has ranged between 90-92 percent with around 2 percent uncertainty, which refers to the model’s margin of error. When developed further, the model could be adapted to different kinds of crops in varied landscapes, Tiwari said.

“Bangladesh was the ideal place for us to begin, as 90% of the population includes rice in their daily diet. Agriculture, primarily rice cultivation, contributes around one-sixth of their national GDP. It’s very important for them to have these estimates right, and that was a demand we could fill,” Tiwari said. “If we can get similar data sets from other regions, we can apply this same framework there. Whether it’s the U.S, India or an African country, we want this method to be reproducible.”

This research was a collaboration between stakeholders, researchers and policymakers. In addition to NC State, organizations such as the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, and the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute were involved to ensure the use of the best scientific practices for informed decision-making.

The paper, “Advancing Food Security: Rice Yield Estimation Framework using Time-Series Satellite Data & Machine Learning,” is published in PLOS ONE. Co-authors include Kelly Thorp, Mirela G. Tulbure, Joshua Gray, Mohammad Kamruzzaman, Timothy J. Krupnik, A. Sankarasubramanian and Marcelo Ardon.

Funding for the study comes from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and USAID through the Cereal Systems Initiative for South Asia and the CGIAR Regional Integrated Initiative for Transforming Agrifood Systems in South Asia.

The study abstract follows.

“Advancing Food Security: Rice Yield Estimation Framework using Time-Series Satellite Data & Machine Learning,”

Authors: Varun Tiwari, Kelly Thorp, Mirela G. Tulbure, Joshua Gray, Mohammad Kamruzzaman, Timothy J. Krupnik, A. Sankarasubramanian, Marcelo Ardon.

Published: Dec. 12, 2024

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309982

Abstract: Timely and accurately estimating rice yields is crucial for supporting food security management, agricultural policy development, and climate change adaptation in rice-producing countries such as Bangladesh. To address this need, this study introduced a workflow to enable timely and precise rice yield estimation at a sub- district scale (1,000-meter spatial resolution). However, a significant gap exists in the application of remote sensing methods for government-reported rice yield estimation for food security management at high spatial resolution. Current methods are limited to specific regions and primarily used for research, lacking integration into national reporting systems.

Additionally, there is no consistent yearly boro rice yield map at a sub-district scale, hindering localized agricultural decision-making. This workflow leveraged MODIS and annual district-level yield data to train a random forest model for estimating boro rice yields at a 1,000-meter resolution from 2002 to 2021. The results revealed a mean percentage root mean square error (RMSE) of 8.07% and 12.96% when validation was conducted using reported district yields and crop- cut yield data, respectively. Additionally, the estimated yield of boro rice varies with an uncertainty range between 0.40 and 0.45 tons per hectare across Bangladesh. Furthermore, a trend analysis was performed on the estimated boro rice yield data from 2002 to 2021 using the modified Mann-Kendall trend test with a 95% confidence interval (p < 0.05). In Bangladesh, 23% of the rice area exhibits an increasing trend in boro rice yield, 0.11% shows a decreasing trend, and 76.51% of the area demonstrates no trend in rice yield.

Given that this is the first attempt to estimate boro rice yield at 1,000-meter spatial resolution over two decades in Bangladesh, the estimated mid-season boro rice yield estimates are scalable across space and time, offering significant potential for strengthening food security management in Bangladesh. Furthermore, the proposed workflow can be easily applied to estimate rice yields in other regions worldwide.

–Joey Pitchford, N.C. State University

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Caleb Ragland (KY), who previously served as ASA vice president, will serve as 2025 ASA president. Ragland began serving on ASA’s board of directors in December 2017. He farms 4,000 acres of soybeans, corn and winter wheat on his Magnolia, Kentucky, farm.

Immediate past president Josh Gackle (ND) moves to the role of ASA chairman. Former chairman Daryl Cates (IL) rotates off the nine-member executive committee.

The ASA board elected Scott Metzger (OH) as ASA vice president, a role that puts him in line to serve as the association’s president in 2026.

In addition, the board elected Dave Walton (IA) as ASA secretary; Alan Meadows (TN) as treasurer; and Heather Feuerstein (MI); Tanner Johnson (WI); Jimmie Lee Shaw (SC); and Jordan Scott (SD) as at-large members of the executive committee.

ASA celebrated the advocacy of and said farewell to several directors retiring this week, including Charles Atkinson (KS); Ken Boswell (NE); Jeff Harrison (CAN); James Hereford (AL); Chris Hill (MN); Jered Hooker (IL); and Mike Petefish (MN).

ASA welcomed five new directors who begin their nine-year terms, including Teresa Brandenburg (KS); Julie Maw (CAN); Geoff Ruth (NE); Bob Worth (MN); and Bryan Severs (IL).

The American Soybean Association (ASA) represents U.S. soybean farmers on domestic and international policy issues important to the soybean industry. ASA has 26 affiliated state associations representing 30 soybean-producing states and more than 500,000 soybean farmers.

–American Soybean Association

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“I appreciate all the directors, members, sponsors, and partners who joined us in San Antonio last week,” USCA President Justin Tupper said. “The Annual Meeting is a critical time to set the direction of the association for the year ahead and join in conversation on issues impacting the industry. The meeting hosted a number of panels focused on hot-button issues and the group has a renewed momentum to make positive change as we enter a new year with a new administration.”

Panel presentation topics this year included emerging technologies, Beef Checkoff, livestock risk protection, and mandatory animal ID. In addition, Certified Angus Beef Director of Commercial Industry Relations Troy Marshall shared a look at the industry and how the branded beef program has impacted its history. Farm Service Agency (FSA) Administrator Zach Ducheneaux provided an overview of the tools FSA has to support its producers.

USCA reviews its policies every two years and accepts new policy submissions at the Annual Meeting. This year, new policies were presented regarding animal health and ID, all of which will be sent to the membership on the year’s official ballot.

USCA also welcomed newly appointed Board of Directors members who will be placed on the upcoming ballot, including Todd Clemons (Region XI: Florida and Georgia); Luke Frantz (Region XIV: Ohio, Wisconsin, Illinois); and Curtis Thomas (Region I: Washington, Oregon, Alaska, and Hawaii).

The USCA Annual Meeting sets the policies and focus of the Association for the year ahead, which will culminate this year in the USCA DC Fly-In. Issues to be included for discussion include Animal ID, Producer Profitability and Competition, Trade and more. Any USCA members interested in participating in the 2025 fly-in should contact USCA’s Federal Policy Director Kalina Reini: kalina@wssdc.com.

–U.S. Cattlemen’s Association

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Project #BRF-014:  Development of a Probiotic-Based Recombinant Oral Vectored-Vaccine Against Clostridial Dermatitis in Turkeys

 (Dr. Ravi Kulkarni, Department of Population Health and Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, N.C.)

Clostridial dermatitis (CD), caused predominantly by Clostridium septicum, is an economically important disease of turkeys characterized by necrotic dermatitis and sudden death. Previous research showed that C. septicum alpha toxin (ATX) is a key factor in producing CD and that protection against CD seems to depend on ATX antibodies. Through the recent study, Dr. Ravi Kulkarni and researchers from North Carolina State University identified ‘non-toxic domains of ATX’ (ntATX) and developed two probiotic Lactococcus lactis-based vaccines expressing ntATX antigens. Findings showed that the non-toxic segments of C. septicum ATX possess a protective ability against experimental CD infection of turkeys, and hence, can be suitable vaccine candidates. Further, employing both the subcutaneous and oral routes of vaccination can protect turkeys against CD.

The research summary can be found on the USPOULTRY website. Information on other Association research may also be obtained by visiting the USPOULTRY website, uspoultry.org.

–Hannah Keck, USPOULTRY

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